Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced on Monday his decision to step down in the coming months after nine years in office. His decision comes amid growing discontent within his Liberal Party and dismal pre-election poll numbers that forecast a significant defeat.
In a solemn press conference, Trudeau, one of the world’s most recognized progressive leaders, revealed that he would remain in his role as both Prime Minister and Liberal leader until a successor is chosen, a process expected to take several months.
“This country deserves a real choice in the next election, and it has become clear to me that if I’m having to fight internal battles, I cannot be the best option in that election,” Trudeau stated. He further announced that the Canadian Parliament would be prorogued until March 24, delaying any potential election until at least May.
The next federal election is mandated by October 20. Current polls indicate a grim outlook for the Liberals, with widespread public dissatisfaction over escalating living costs and an acute housing crisis. According to a December Ipsos Canada poll, the opposition Conservatives lead with 45% support among decided voters, leaving the Liberals and New Democrats trailing with 20% each—a scenario that points to a likely Conservative landslide.
The discontent within the Liberal ranks became evident when several lawmakers openly demanded Trudeau’s resignation following the abrupt departure of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland. Freeland, once a staunch Trudeau ally, accused him of indulging in “political gimmicks” aimed at regaining voter trust rather than addressing pressing national concerns.
“I am not someone who backs away from a fight, particularly when a fight is as important as this one is,” Trudeau emphasized. However, he acknowledged that his continued leadership was untenable amid internal strife.
Trudeau’s tenure, which began in 2015, was marked by a message of hope and optimism. His policies on gender equality and progressive social reforms earned him global admiration. Nevertheless, his approval ratings have plummeted over the past two years, largely due to economic issues exacerbated in the post-COVID era.
The decline was further evidenced by the Liberals’ poor performance in recent by-elections, which saw the loss of previously safe seats. Despite initial resistance, Trudeau’s position became increasingly precarious, culminating in the recent calls for his departure.
Trudeau’s announcement has set the stage for a leadership contest within the Liberal Party. While he refrained from specifying a timeline, political analysts predict a swift process given the pressing need for a stable leadership ahead of the upcoming election.
Potential contenders for the leadership include former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland and ex-central banker Mark Carney, both of whom issued statements expressing gratitude for Trudeau’s service. However, the party remains divided, with factions debating whether to continue Trudeau’s progressive agenda or pivot towards a more business-oriented approach.
“There is a fatigue factor. This is a government in its 10th year – at some point the milk just expires,” said Shachi Kurl, president of Angus Reid. “I think the milk has turned pretty sour.”
Opposition parties have seized on the Liberal Party’s turmoil, with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre reiterating calls for an immediate election. Poilievre, known for his populist rhetoric and support for the 2022 trucker protests, criticized the Liberals for their internal focus while the nation faces economic and social challenges.
“While leaderless Liberals focus on saving their jobs and fighting each other for power, the country spirals out of control,” Poilievre declared.
The prorogation of Parliament has sparked criticism, with constitutional experts warning of potential voter backlash. “People are ready for an election. They want to move on – this is just delaying it,” remarked Philippe Lagasse, a constitutional expert at Carleton University.
Trudeau’s departure also raises concerns about Canada’s economic stability, particularly in light of looming trade tensions with the incoming Trump administration in the United States. Trump has repeatedly hinted at imposing significant tariffs on Canadian exports, which could have devastating effects on the Canadian economy.
Doug Ford, Premier of Ontario, called for federal clarity on strategies to counter these potential tariffs. “Canada needs to demonstrate stability and strength at this critical moment,” Ford stressed.